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Stock Market Analysis

Oil vs. Stocks

The stock market has been inversely correlated to the energy market. This week, the stock market has risen as oil has fallen in the wholesale markets. We've also seen the price of oil, generally, move on weekend statements related to the Iran war from President Trump. The patterns are obvious.

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Now we have a new investment game and it is centered in the options and futures markets. Traders are taking short term trades on counter moves. What does this mean?

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With oil down over several sessions, the trade is to go long oil and short the stock market. When the oil market logs a large enough short term gain, the reverse trade is put on. Go short on oil and long on the stock market. 

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This has significant implications for the timing of stock buys. 

 

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Stock market analysis

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